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SATURDAY, May 10, 2025
Today’s Race Card/Horsecellany
There are nine races today, three of them on the turf.
The stakes race is: The Siren Lure, Race 5.
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ULTIMATE PICK OF THE DAY: Bran (Race 5)
PENULTIMATE PICK OF THE DAY: not available in free analysis
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RACES 2-5
RACE 2
Six raced at RD and only two won: Fast Service and Doris Avenue. Bronko Nagurski and Big Bet have never won a dirt sprint.
Bronko Nagurski he certainly is due! He turns back 1,650 feet, and has turned out steady route speed figures, one on dirt last February, he looks best in this bleak field
Big Bet he too turns back, 1,650 feet, and he drops in class to boot, he is new to RD with very favorable pedigree for same
Fast Service just raced two weeks ago but at least he is lightly raced, his early speed means that the rail should not be a problem, he hit the board in all four sprints, winning one of them at RD here last March
RACE 3
All raced at RD and three won: Jaguar Jon, Stan From Malibu and Clements Ride.
Five entries are unrested. All entries have won a dirt sprint.
Lead Pipe Joe well-rested, lightly raced, he won a laugher, by some eight lengths, last time out at 5 ½ f, Mathis/Frey $$$$ here and Mathis likes the dirt sprint
Mr. Machupicchu he hit the board in all eight recent sprints, and won once at 5 ½ f here, the rail is of concern but he has tremendous early speed to get out, pace killed him in that last turf sprint
Clements Ride he raced 20 days ago, and won, narrowly, at RD, with Franco in the irons, he will battle
RACE 4
Three raced at RD and only Sand to Sea won. Nala hit the board at one mile. No other entry hit the board in dirt route.
Five of seven entries are unrested so I consider this a level playing field.
Sand to Sea class drop; she raced 13 days ago but at least has the seven pound apprentice weight allowance afforded Bautista, plus she rested in March, the lightly raced mare hit the board in all three dirt routes at RD , placing twice and winning once off-turf, she looks best in this jejune field
Queen Girvin very well-rested, she missed the board in her sole route at RD, in less-than-ideal conditions, Aguilar knows her well and Gomez/Aguilar $$$$$ here
Nala she raced once at RD and hit the board here, and she won two of five dirt sprints, Maldonado is on fire
RACE 5
The Siren Lure
Six furlongs, turf course ($100000)
Five raced at RD and two won: Noble Reflection and Bran. Eye on Ry never won a turf sprint.
Bran and Air Force Red have won graded stakes; Final Boss has won at stakes level.
Bran very well-rested, he hit the board in seven of his last nine turf sprints, winning a heady four of them, and he won eight of twenty-four turf races overall, turf man Rispoli produced that latest win
Lovesick Blues he hit the board in seven of his nine recent turf sprints, though winless in them, Barocio likes the stakes race and Barocio/Franco $$$$$ here
Eye on Ry rested, and lightly raced, he is a route runner, he turns back 1,320 feet, and has favorable lineage for this sprint, Ellis assassinates the turf sprint
*****
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