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californiawinning.com
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SATURDAY, March 8, 2025
Today’s Race Card/Horsecellany
There are eleven races today, five of them on the turf.
There are two Graded stakes, The Waynes Hughes Beholder Mile, Grade 1, Race 8, and The San Simeon, Grade III, Race 9.
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Post Time today is 12:00 PM PST, 3:00 PM EST
FOR AMUSEMENT ONLY
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ULTIMATE PICK OF THE DAY: Mucho Del Oro (Race 9)
PENULTIMATE PICK OF THE DAY: NOT AVAILABLE IN FREE ANALYSIS
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Trifecta Key Box Success Note:
If a trifecta bet is $1, then a trifecta BOX involving five horses would cost $60 (60 combinations).
A trifecta KEY box for five horses at $1 per bet costs only $36. That is because you are keying your top horse, meaning he must finish in the top three to collect, which eliminates 24 possible combinations under statistics principles.
I used my top picks at Oaklawn Sunday in two trifecta key boxes for their respective races.
I missed the trifecta with Race 8 although Bru Na Boine won. I hit the trifecta by way of a trifecta key box in Race 9 even though my top horse came in third.
My key horse was Muhimma who finished third, so that validated that part of the win. I also had Quietside in my bet as part of my top five for the race, and he paid $22.40 to win. I also had Five G in my top five and he paid $9.20 to place.
As a result the trifecta key box paid me $138.70 for an $18 wager ($.50). Not a bad return.
I am loving this wager was since I recently learned of it, and that’s pretty much the only wager I make. I use my enhanced version to include the four companions to my ultimate or penultimate pick as the case may be.
To purchase today’s full race analysis, $10 for the day or better yet, $20 for a monthly subscription, do one of the following:
Go to PayPal.me/SailorBoston and pay there
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*****
RACE 6
Very closely graded
Eight raced at RD and seven of the eight won at RD. Rose of Jericho never won any dirt sprint. This is a match race among four entries, with Twilight Empire having won at Rd last time out.
Twilight Empire the lightly raced eight year old still sports steady speed figures in sprints, and she won here at RD last time out, with Frey in command, she looks best in a rather pedestrian field
Brookys Gal top 2025 earner, she won a heady six of ten trips at RD, including that narrow win last time out at RD, with the advantage of the Americano weight allowance which again is in play, she is a bit short on rest
Harney Lane she hit the board in all four trips at RD, winning once last September, she finished less than a length behind Twilight Empire last time out despite a bumpy start, topflight rider rides again
RACE 7
Nine contestants raced, only Master Jacques at RD and he failed to hit the board. Altogether three entries hit the board in a dirt sprint: Mutt Dillin, General Jackson and Code Breaker. Five entries are unrested.
Code Breaker he turns back 330 feet after hitting the board in his debut, with Aguilar driving, Pederson kills the dirt sprint and Pederson/Aguilar $$$$ historically
Mutt Dillin a bit short on rest, but he placed in his first two sprints, at 6f, he turns back 330 feet and Ms. Capestro kills the turf-to-dirt transition as here, Valdivia knows the colt well
Sawtooth Bow he drops precipitously from MSW level, and turns back 1,650 feet, he will enjoy that Carmona five pound weight allowance, akin to giving the gelding a head start in such a short race
RACE 8
Very closely graded
The B. Wayne Hughes Beholder Mile Stakes
Grade 1, one mile, main track ($300000)
All raced at Rd and four of six entries won at RD. All entries have won dirt routes. Hoosier Philly and Ultimate Authority have never won at graded stakes level.
Bob Baffert enters two; Brad Cox enters Tarifa.
Tarifa the Cox entry, top 2024 earner by far, turns back a furlong, and he won a heady four of his six routes, all longer than RD, two at graded stakes level, the filly is lightly raced and well-rested, and The Inimitable Mike Smith rides
Richi the lightly raced, rested mare won all three trips at RD (7 ½ f), and all of those wins were graded stakes in Chile, she won a Grade III sprint here last January, the Baffert entry may not mind the rail, gets new rider Fresu
Cavalieri this Baffert entry turns back 330 feet after that win last time out, with the elite Hernandez atop, she also won both of her trips at RD, same rider, she too is lightly raced, well-r
RACE 9
The San Simeon
Grade III, six and one-half furlongs, turf course ($100000)
All raced at RD and five of the contestants won at RD, not Gaslight Dancer, Anarchist or St Anthony.
Only three entries won at graded stakes level: Air Force Red, Anarchist and Mucho Del Oro.
Two contestants are unrested.
Mucho Del Oro he hit the board in nine of his last ten turf sprints, winning five of them, two at graded stakes level, and Hernandez produced three of the gelding’s nine wins, and he won five of eight turf trips at RD, O’Neill likes the turf sprint to boot
Sorrento Sky (IRE- County Louth) he hit the board in seven of eight sprints on grass, winning four of them, two of three at RD, Fresu produced three of the colt’s four wins, once at RD, the colt is a tad short on rest but vacationed in January
Charge for Gold looks like he won’t mind the rail; he won here at RD last time out with Frey aboard who produced a turf route win on the colt as well, Oviedo/Frey $$$$$ historically
*****
MAY THE HORSE BE WITH YOU!
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